U.S. House Nominee Fund

Incumbent Republican Michael Lawler won in 2024 by only 3.3% and both Decision Desk HQ and Roll Call have him on their lists of most vulnerable House incumbents. Currently, there are three viable Democrats in the primary: apparent leaders Cait Conley, Beth Davidson and Effie-Phillips Staley. The race is rated Toss-up by the Cook Political Report and Lean Republican by Sabato’s Crystal Ball.