Our high-impact states have close races with a potential to flip in at least two of these areas:

  • Presidency

  • House of Representatives

  • Senate

  • At least one branch of the state legislature

Why North Carolina?
  • NC has a history of extreme gerrymandering and voter suppression laws that one judge described as targeting African Americans with “almost surgical precision".
  • Activists have created a network of highly energized and well-organized voter outreach groups that made a measurable impact in the 2018 midterms.

  • In an upcoming special election—triggered by GOP election fraud—Democrat Dan McCready will need high voter turnout to flip the traditionally red 9th Congressional District.

  • ​NC may play a decisive role in the Presidential elections and may also have a competitive race for the Senate 

Why Michigan?
  • Trump won Michigan—one of three “Blue Wall” states that crumbled in 2016—by less than 11,000 votes. Many groups are working to be sure its 16 electoral votes flip back to blue.
  • Democrats saw a huge upswing in voter turnout in the midterms, a promising trend for 2020.

  • Two competitive House races (Elissa Slotkin/MI-08 and Haley Stevens/MI-11) will help drive Democratic turnout.

Why Florida?
  • Flipping the state’s 29 electoral votes would be the biggest prize in Democrats’ efforts to win back the White House.

  • Trump won in 2016 by just 1.2% out of 5 million votes cast statewide.

  • In a move sure to dampen turnout, the GOP-led legislature undermined a ballot measure that restored voting rights to 1.5 million felons who served their time.


Why Wisconsin?

  • Gerrymandering is destroying representative democracy in Wisconsin: In the 2018 midterms, Democrats won 53% of all votes cast for State Assembly while coming away with only 36% of the seats

  •  While statewide wins by Democrats in 2018, including Tony Evers for Governor, show Wisconsin trending purple, the passage of a voter ID law in 2011 and limitations on early voting in the 2019 lame-duck session, work against the trend.

  • The fact that Hillary Clinton won 24,000 fewer votes in 10 majority-Black zip codes in Milwaukee than Barak Obama did in 2012 (Trump won WI by only 23,000 votes) speaks to the importance of engaging minority voters.